Quantifying the impacts of climate and socio-economic trends on the risk of future humanitarian crises and disasters

INFORM Climate Change
Quantifying the impacts of climate and socio-economic trends on the risk of future humanitarian crises and disasters

This report presents the results of INFORM Climate Change. The analysis shows how the INFORM Risk Index, a composite index that measures the risk of a humanitarian crisis or disaster that could require international assistance, would be affected by the impacts of climate change and socio-economic trends. The Index is on a 0-10 scale and includes 5 classifications of country from ‘very low' to ‘very high' risk. While there are uncertainties in this analysis relating to future greenhouse gas emissions and socio-economic development pathways, we can draw the following broad conclusions, which show that climate change will increase crisis risk and could lead to extremely significant crisis impacts and related requirements for crisis prevention and humanitarian assistance. The results in this report refer to ‘pessimistic' and ‘optimistic' combinations of greenhouse gas emissions and socio-economic development.

Publié le 19/10/2022